As the Mid-Term election results have been sorted out and analyzed, a new group of women have emerged who according to the data, broke away from their traditional GOP allegiance and voted for Democrats in the recent November elections.. These women identified by the acronym WNCNEW, which stands for white non-college educated non ecumenical women parted company with their conservative Trump base and in so doing have given the Dem candidates in 2020 a whole new group to consider and aim their message to.
This article which appears in New York Magazine today provides very good news for the Democratic Party. It reveals that an many in a demographic group jumped aboard the Dem train. The article also shows how important the disaggregation work can be for future candidates to know whether there are shifting trends happening out there in voter land.
The fact that traditionally GOP voting women who did not attend college and do not belong to a fundamental Christian faith gives those on the left a lot of data on which to chew. A reasonable assumption might be from this data is that women who are not constrained by their faith to hold an anti-abortion position have developed a disgust with Trump – his demeanor and policies and feel comfortable switching parties. If that assumption is true then one might also assume that evangelical white women either with a college degree or without, see Trump for what he truly is – but simply cannot abandon the political party which holds on tightly to their anti-abortion positions.(They might deep down especially hate the idea of having to support Trump but have no choice given the dictates of their faith..)
These results will give all Dem candidates in 2020 another important segment to direct their attention. Women on the left can savor this news as well. For what these results reveal is that a large segment of women on the right had an epiphany. They are finally seeing Trump for what he truly is – an inept, criminal -minded horror of a President. And they are similarly able to associate the Republican Party with this President and found the whole package wanting. A similar epiphany has not as yet landed on the white non college educated, non evangelical male group. When that happens the left will be on its way to righting our floundering ship of state.